Utveckling på kort sikt ererfrågan BNP- Lllväxt, Sverige SysselsäFningsLllväxt, Sverige 6% 4% 2% 3% 2% 1% - 2% - 4% - 6% Källa: SCB, Konsensusprognos % 1 8 6 4 2-2 - 4-6 22 24 26 28 21 212 214(f) KontorssysselsäFning, Stockholm 1988 199 1992 22 24 26 28 21 212 Källa: SCB Källa: SCB, Konsensusprognos 5 4 3 2 1-1 - 2-3 -1% -2% -3% 22 24 26 28 21 212 214(f) Konfidensindikatorn privata tjänstenäringar 27Q1 27Q3 28Q1 28Q3 29Q1 29Q3 21Q1 21Q3 211Q1 211Q3 212Q1 212Q3 Stockholm Riket Källa: Konjunkturinstitutet 1
Utveckling på kort sikt utbud 16% Vakansgrad Storstockholm 3 25 NyprodukLon av kontor, Storstockholm 12% 2 15 8% 1 5 4% 16% 12% 8% 4% 1999 Q4 Q4 21 Q4 22 Q4 23 Q4 24 Q4 25 Q4 26 Q4 27 Q4 28 Q4 29 Q4 21 Q4 211 Q4 212 Q4 Källa: DTZ Research Vakansgrad Stockholm CBD 1999 Q4 Q4 21 Q4 22 Q4 23 Q4 24 Q4 25 Q4 26 Q4 27 Q4 28 Q4 29 Q4 21 Q4 211 Q4 212 Q4 Källa: DTZ Research -5-1 -15 CENTRAL LONDON VACANCY -v- RENTAL GROWTH 4 3 2 1-1 -2-3 -4 Källa: DTZ Research 1995 1997 1999 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213(f) 214(f) 215(f) 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 199 1991 1992 1993 1995 1997 1999 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 Source: CBRE, IPD, Cornerstone IPD Rental Growth (% pa) Vacancy Rate (%, rhs) 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 2
Branschen ganska så pessimislsk ERerfrågan på kontor Q1 213 5% FörbäFring 1 EFårstrend prime office rent Stockholm 33% Försämring 8 6 4 2 SLgande hyror 62% Oförändrat - 2 Källa: DTZ Property Investor Confidence Index - 4-6 Sjunkande hyror 1 Improve Worsen Show little or no change ERerfrågan på kontor Q1 213 8 6 4 2-2 -4-6 -8 FörbäFring Försämring -1 Q3 28 Q4 28 Q1 29 Q2 29 Q3 29 Q4 29 Q1 21 Q2 21 Q3 21 Q4 21 Q1 211 Q2 211 Q3 211 Q4 211 Q1 212 Q2 212 Q3 212 Q4 212 Q3 21 Q4 21 Q1 211 Q2 211 Q3 211 Q4 211 Q1 213 Q1 212 Q2 212 Q3 212 Q4 212 Q1 213 Källa: SEPREF, the Swedish Property Research Forum Källa: DTZ Property Investor Confidence Index 3
Å ena sidan. Å andra sidan. Stockholm prime office rent, kr/kvm, år 7 6 5 4 3 1 199 1992 22 24 26 28 21 Källa: DTZ Research 4
Stockholm växer krarigt Invånare och arbetsplatser i Stockholms Stad. Utveckling -28 samt prognos fram till 23 Källa: USK, RTK 5
InternaLonell utblick Borde inte norra Europas finansiella centrum ha ef riklgt bank- och finanskluster? The Zuidas (South Axis), Amsterdam Moscow International Business Center eller Moscow-City, Moskva La Defense, Paris Frankfurt Canary Wharf, London 6
Tack för af ni lyssnade! KontaktuppgiRer: Karin Witalis Head of Research karin.witalis@dtz.com 8 671 34 26 7
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