Money system oil and environment

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Margareta Eriksson
för 8 år sedan
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1 Money system oil and environment Basic needs for a sound economy Peak oil in economic terms The function of modern money systems Future beyond Peak oil

2 Ecological Environmental economics economics Based on an interest in adapting economic theory to the laws of nature Trying to specify the correct theory, model or system. Based on an interest to include environmental problems into conventional economic theory Trying to specify the correct marketprice of environmental problems 2

3 An economy based on thermodynamic law Carnivores Energy flow Herbivores Vegetables 3

4 An economy based on thermodynamic law Economic system Energy flow Cultural system Natural system 4

5 An economy based on thermodynamic law Financial capital Man-made capital Energy flow Human capital Natural capital 5

6 Todays economy is not based on thermodynamic law Financial capital Man-made capital Human capital Natural capital 6

7 The economic system 7

8 Oil peak 8

9 Future oil prices 9

10 Future change in oil price Price Supply Demand Quantity 10

11 11

12 What is the money system affecting? The money system 12

13 Where is the money created????? 13

14 Who do everybody owe money? 14

15 Coins, bills and digital money Total moneystock of Swedish crones Value in milliard SEK M0 M Year

16 This is how our money is created Lisa Anna 100 kr Bengt 100 kr 100 kr 100 kr 16

17 Total moneystock and total debt Debt in milliard SEK Year Total debt Debt of loan M 3 Other depts Trade credits Insurance savings Fonds Other shares and holdings Stocks Leasing Financial derivates Bonds Loans of combines Loans Certificates Deposits Bills Coins 17

18 What is the money system affecting? Deficient amount of money Inflation Increasing moneystock The money system Transfer of money from borrowers to lenders Increasing indebtness Free incomes for lending businesses 18

19 What is the money system affecting? War Weakened democracy Slumps and booms Decreasing real sector Debttrap Growing finacial sector Deficient amount of money Inflation Increasing unemployment Increasing moneystock The money system Transfer of money from borrowers to lenders Demand on more economic growth Increasing indebtness Free incomes for lending businesses Increasing national debt Environmental destruction Deregulation Overproduction Increased gaps in assets Dependence of fossil fuels Export oriented economies Deficiency of money in rural areas 19

20 The money system Economic growth Ägg Drake A money system where the use of interest and debt is based more on free choice Economic growth on natures terms, alternatively an economy more focused on stationary state than growth 20

21 System dynamics and economy 21

22 Future beyond peak oil Increasing oil prices means inflation The economic growth stops Obvious risk for hyperinflation and monetary collapses Tough times, but a possibillity for a restart 22

23 Future beyond peak oil The price of energy increases in relation to the price of labour This means a huge depression Inflation and the economic crises will slowly increase the price of labour relatively to the price of energy This means a restart for the economy on a more sustainable basis 23

24 Future beyond peak oil Higher oil prices will rebalance the capital distribution in the economy. The amount of financial capital will decrease relatively to other types of capital. This means an incentive to create a more balanced economy, according to thermodynamic laws The end result of this will also depend on the ability of society to create better controls of financial activities and a more juste monetary system 24

25 Future beyond peak oil Key changes in the future economy will be: A shift towards low energy technology (a pessimistic technology view) A shift towards smal scale and relocated processing industries A shift towards more human and animal labour A reversed urbanisation trend This means an economy where humans and nature are needed and treated with respect 25

26 Panics do not destroy capital; they merely reveal the extent to which it has been previously destroyed by its betrayal into hopelessly unproductive works. John Stuart Mill, Political economist ( ) 26

27 Skuldsättning per sektor Skuld i miljarder kr Övriga skulder Lån Företag Finansiella företag Offentlig sektor Sektor Hushåll Utlandet 27

28 Räntans omfördelning av tillgångar 28

29 Skuldfällan Det finns över överskuldsatta människor i Sverige idag (2008), enligt uppgift från Kronofogdemyndigheten. I Rommarriket fanns det fyra kategorier av slavar. En av de fyra kategorierna kallades Nexus. Nexus definerades som människor som var tvungna att arbeta för att betala av en skuld. 29

30 Vad skapar inflation? Penningmängd i M0 och M Överskott på pengar Värde (miljarder kr) M0 M3 Dyrare produktion Självförstärkande p.g.a ränta och skatter År

31 Överföring av tillgångar Räntebetalare Räntemottagare Överföringen motsvarar ränteskillnaden mellan inlåning och utlåning Reell sektor Finansiell sektor Total negativ bytesbalans på 3-4%, Säkrare avkastning, Alternativräntan Skattebetalare Finansiell sektor Räntebetalningar på statsobligationer, Stöd vid finansiella kriser Användare av pengar Placerare och utgivare Konjunktursvängningar och inflation Svenska valutaområdet Amerikanska valutaområdet Krona-dollar betalningsbalans, Riksbankens reserv av dollar 31

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