ORIENTERING Av Peter Lohmander

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1 1 ORIENTERING Av Peter Lohmander Detta dokument ger en aktuell orientering om läget i Sveriges närområde. Det inkluderar fem sidor och bygger på många olika källor från hela världen. En stor del av dessa uppdateras mer eller mindre kontinuerligt. Läsaren uppmanas att klicka på samtliga inkluderade internetlänkar och ta del av innehållet. Figur 1. Europa, norra Asien och norra Ishavet

2 Figur 2. Ett regionalt perspektiv 2

3 3 Figur 3. Sveriges närområde Aktuella händelser i Sveriges närområde (Hösten 2009) Här följer ett mycket litet urval av alla de händelser som rapporterats av mängder av utländska medier under hösten Dessa rapporter visar tydligt att Ryska Federationen, med stor kraft, satsar på militär upprustning, inkluderande såväl sjöstridskrafter som flyg och armeförband av många olika slag. Kapaciteten när det gäller snabba och överraskande landstigningsoperationer understödda med helikopter ökas kraftigt genom att ny modern materiel anskaffas och konkreta övningar genomförs. Citat: "A handful of Mistral class ships in the Baltic and Black Seas would make a big difference. In the conflict in August last year a ship like that would have allowed the Black Sea Fleet to accomplish its mission in 40 minutes, not 26 hours, which is how long it took us, Russian Navy Commander Admiral Vladimir Vysotskiy, recently said, referring to Russia s August 2008 invasion of Georgia. Consequently, the Mistral s passage through the Baltic Sea next week must capture the attention of every NATO ally. The French sale of Mistral class ships to Russia would be a major adverse geopolitical development and a potential alliance buster it must be blown off course. *David J. Smith is Director, Georgian Security Analysis Center, Tbilisi, and Senior Fellow, Potomac Institute for Policy Studies, Washington."

4 4 Omfattande Landstigningsövningar i södra Östersjön av Ryssland och Vitryssland. The Zapad-2009 strategic exercise, launched on September 8 under the command of Nikolai Makarov, chief of the Russian Armed Forces General Staff, and Belarusian Defense Minister Leonid Maltsev, will continue until September 29. The exercise is the final phase of the Russian-Belarusian Union State s military-training program for Ryssland och Frankrike: Assault ships och assault helicopters i Saint Petersburg "This day will mark history." These are the words uttered on November 27, 2009 by the Director General and Chief Designer of the Kamov firm, Mr Sergei Viktorovich Mikheyev, at the first landing of the Russian Ka-52 combat helicopter aboard a helicopter carrier. In this case, the ship was the French Navy s Bâtiment de Projection et Commandement (BPC) Mistral. Having barely sailed out of the Neva, in the heart of St. Petersburg, where the Mistral made a four-day visit, the ship made a "cross deck" landing exercise with Russian Navy helicopters. For over an hour, several deck landings were made by a Ka-27 (Helix anti submarine warfare helicopter), a Ka-29 (assault transport helicopter) and the impressive Ka-52, which also simulated a refueling on the flight deck of the Mistral Omfattande ryskt bomb- och attackflyg längs Norges kust "We see that the Russians have taken up strategic flights again along the coast, out in the Norwegian Sea and over the Atlantic, back to the levels seen during the Cold War," Commander Lars Saunes at Norway's joint operations base in Bodø in northern Norway told NRK. Saunes said there has been much speculation as to why the Russians are flying so actively off Norway and sometimes as far south as the UK. "I haven't had any clear description of what their reasons are," he said.

5 5 Ryska uppskjutningar av interkontinentala kärnvapenmissiler från atomubåtar utanför Norge Området fra Kvitsjøen og østover til Novaja Semlja er et viktig prøvefelt for russiske våpen. Lysfenomenet som ble observert over store deler av Nordkalotten onsdag morgen var etter all sannsynlighet en russisk rakett som var kommet ut av kontroll. Tv2-nyhetene får onsdag ettermiddag bekreftet av kilder i det russiske militæret at det ble foretatt en oppskyting i dette tidsrommet, og at den var mislykket. Det var et Bulava-missil og ble skutt opp fra en undervannsbåt i dag tidlig, sier kilden til tv2nyhetene.no Här kan regelbundet ny lägesinformation hämtas