Bioenergiens rolle i Europa og Sverige Gustav Melin, President AEBIOM Bioenergidagene18 november
Global energy system Share of renewables in final energy (in %) 18.4% The share of renewables has increased to 18.4% in 2012 (recent data suggests it crossed 19% in 2014). 17.7% UN Sustainable Energy for All (SE4All) expects doubling of this share to 36% by 2030. 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: World Bioenergy Association Statistical report 2015 WBA GBS 2015
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AEBIOM MEMBERS Full Members Associate Members
Global carbon budget 1750-2013 (Billion tonnes C per year) Fossil fuels & cement Deforestation Forest growth Atmosphere Ocean sink Global Carbon Project 2013 www.svebio.se
Global carbon budget 2013 (Billion tonnes C per year) 12 10 8 9,9 Carbon emmissions from deforestation is 8 per cent of total emissions. Global forest growth assimilate carbon corresponding to three times carbon emmissions from deforestation. 6 5,4 4 2 0,9 0-2 Fossil fuel & cement Deforestation Forest growth Ocean sink Atmospheric growth (Sum) -4-2,5-2,9 Global Carbon Project 2013 www.svebio.se
Bioenergy Key Facts
Trend of standing volume in European forests Source: AEBIOM, European Bioenergy Outlook 2014
Bioenergy Key Facts Annual forest growth and felling in Europe Source: AEBIOM statistical report 2015
Bioenergy Key Facts Final energy consumption of bioenergy in 2013 was 105 Mtoe, almost double that of 2000 Bioenergy is 62% of EU renewable energy consumption today 50% of the 20% EU renewable energy target in 2020 Source: AEBIOM statistical report 2015
Source: AEBIOM statistical report 2015 Bioenergy Key Facts
Source: AEBIOM statistical report 2015 Bioenergy Key Facts
What is said to be important in the EU? Security of supply Sustainable Competititive Creating jobs Promoting industrial development www.svebio.se
EU Policy 2030 EU climate and energy framework Biomass sustainability EU requirements for bioenergy installations Heat Strategy
Energy Union
SHARE OF ENERGY FROM RENEWABLE SOURCES (in % of gross final energy consumption) 60 2013 2020 target 50 40 30 20 10 0
Final energy use in Sweden 2014 Fossil gas, 9,9 TWh, 2,7% Coal, 18,3 TWh, 5% Heat pumps, 3,1 TWh, 0,8% Nuclear power, 50 TWh, 13,7% Bioenergy, 125 TWh, 34,3% Oil, 97,5 TWh, 26,7% Hydro power, 51,5 TWh, 14,1% Wind power, 9,9 TWh, 2,6%
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 /tonne 140 Carbon tax in Sweden, /tonne, 1991 2018 120 100 80 Households 60 40 Industry 20 0
Aktuella energifrågor som debatteras I Sverige Energikommissionen Elmarknaden och Svebios Biokraftplattform Värmemarknaden Elcertifikatsystemet Transportsektorn Tillgängliga biomassavolymer
Svebio föreslår ändrat elcertifikatsystemet Stödet styr idag enbart mot energi men bör också styra mot effekt, för att klara den högre efterfrågan under vintern. Justera systemet så snart som möjligt Kundernas efterfrågan, behovet, bör spela större roll, liksom priset på marknaden. Vår bedömning är att vinnare på en ändring är ny biokraft och vattenkraft, samt befintlig vindkraft. Dessutom alla konsumenter i form av bättre leveranssäkerhet när kärnkraften avvecklas och lägre kostnader för utbyggnad av elnät. Förlorare är vindkraftsprojektörer samt möjligen befintlig biokraft och vattenkraft och kraftledningsbyggare.
Vision för Biokraft i Sverige år 2040 10 GW installerad effekt 40 TWh elenergi per år!
Policy decisions needed to develop the market. ETS Emission Trading Scheme, EUA currently traded at 8/CO 2 -tonne. Improvment on the way in the MRS market stability reserv. CCS Could be decided to be financed within the ETS-system CO 2 tax proposed in Energy Taxation Directive 20/ CO 2 - tonne, hopefully interest increase together with COP21 in Paris www.svebio.se
ILUC Indirect Land Use Change, Since the Land Use Change is not caused by production of bioenergy. Bioenergy producer have no influence on the problem and cannot change behavior to solve the problem. Thus the ILUC-factor is of no use. Instead it is important to protect valuable nature and take legal actions against those who cause Direct Land Use Change. SUSTAINABILITY CRITERIA CARBON NEUTRALITY www.svebio.se
FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS ENERGY GROUP OLIVIER DUBOIS, Senior Natural Resources Officer (Energy) www.svebio.se
Global Biofuel production versus food price www.svebio.se
AEBIOM supports the introduction of sustainability criteria for solid and gaseous biomass at EU level To increased public acceptance of bioenergy If done at low administrative cost We demand the use of existing sustainability schemes We demand logic policy and thus sustainable production and criteria in all branches also in fossil energy, food, timber, clothing etc. www.svebio.se
Carbon neutrality We mean that several of the reports in this area and the modelling can be questioned. Two scientific views are possible when looking at Carbon neutrality: The individual the tree The population the forest www.svebio.se
The individual the tree The tree obviously have to assimilate carbon before burned and is always carbon positive. www.svebio.se
The population the forest The forest can be mismanaged and cut down, this is bad economy and mainly done in poor countries or were owners rights are unclear. Global forests increase today and proper managed and replanted forests are carbon neutral or even carbon positive and collect more carbon over time. Natural forests do not increase carbon storage in the long run but starts to degrade when maturing. www.svebio.se
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Biomass - An ongoing debate www.biomasscounts.eu 5 networking events in 2015 Factsheets Social media Statistics
Hur mycket energi kan man lagra i Teslas stora batteri Power Wall i jämförelse med vad som ryms i en container med Salixflis? www.svebio.se
En container Salixflis innehåller lika mycket energi som 2500 fulladdade Tesla batterier av den större modellen Power Wall. - Därför kommer lagrad solenergi i form av flis kunna konkurrera även i framtiden. www.svebio.se