How can High Speed Rail solve the capacity problem?

Transkript

1 How can High Speed Rail solve the capacity problem? KTH Railway Group Bo-Lennart Nelldal, Ph D Professor KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

2 Billions of passenger kilometres Passenger traffic on the Swedish railways ,0 Railway Group quality crisis 10,0 8,0 6,0 4,0 Journeys >100 km 2,0 Journeys <100 km 0, KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden Source: KTH Railway

3 Passenger kilometres / Seat kilometres Railway Group 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% Only 1st class X2000 load factor (%) Trains extended 2nd class Start yeild managent Cheap just now prices Multiple units in some departures 30% 20% 10% 0% KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

4 Billions of tonkilometres Railway Group 40 Long distance freight per mode Truck International shipping Railway Domestic shipping Log driving Source: Jakob Wajsman, Banverket KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

5 (Too) Many trains makes much delays 27 Railway Group Number of trains Freight trains green Passenger trains black Total green+black Delayed passenger trains % per link KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

6 When is real high speed lines possible in Sweden? There must be a big long distance endpoint-market There must be big sub-markets between towns along the line There must be big demand for freight trains so there is a need for separation of freight and passenger trains KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

7 Ortsstorlek Stockholm >1 milj invånare Göteborg Malmö Uppsala Gävle 0,5-1,0 milj inv tusen inv tusen inv tusen inv. Luleå Uleåborg Skellefteå Big freight flows + Big passenger flows = Traffic separation is necessary Bergen Stavanger Trondheim Oslo Trollhättan Göteborg Ålborg Skövde Varberg Östersund Falun Borlänge Västerås Örebro Jönköping Eskils - tuna Sundsvall Gävle Uppsala Norrköping Linköping Örnsköldsvik Umeå Åbo Stockholm Tammerfors S:t Petersburg Helsingfors Tallinn Riga Bremen Odense Halmstad Helsing - borg Köpen - hamn Hamburg Lund Malmö Målstandard Blandtrafik 250 Kiev km/h Blandtrafik 200 km/h Annan viktig linje KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

8 Stockholm Göteborg Malmö Uppsala Gävle Ortsstorlek >1 milj invånare 0,5-1,0 milj inv tusen inv tusen inv tusen inv. Luleå Uleåborg High speed network for km/h without tilt after 2020 Bergen Stavanger Trondheim Göteborg Odense Stockholm S:t Petersburg Helsingfors Blandtrafik 200 km/h Bremen Hamburg Annan viktig linje KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden Oslo Trollhättan Ålborg Halmstad Helsing - borg Köpen - hamn Skövde Varberg Östersund Falun Borlänge Västerås Örebro Lund Malmö Jönköping Eskils - tuna Sundsvall Gävle Uppsala Norrköping Linköping Örnsköldsvik Skellefteå Umeå Åbo Tammerfors Tallinn Riga Målstandard Persontrafik 350 km/h Blandtrafik 250 Kiev km/h

9 Stockholm Göteborg Malmö Uppsala Gävle Ortsstorlek >1 milj invånare 0,5-1,0 milj inv tusen inv tusen inv tusen inv. Luleå Uleåborg High speed network for km/h without tilt after 2020 Bergen Stavanger 2:00 Trondheim Göteborg Stockholm S:t Petersburg Helsingfors Köpen - Lund hamn 2:50 Malmö Odense Höghastighetsbanor Ostlänken Götalandsbanan Kiev Europabanan Hamburg Konventionella banor Bremen 4:40 KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden Oslo Trollhättan Ålborg Halmstad Helsing - borg Skövde Varberg Östersund Falun Borlänge Västerås Örebro Jönköping Eskils - tuna Sundsvall Gävle Uppsala Norrköping Linköping Örnsköldsvik Skellefteå Umeå Åbo 1:00 1:20 Tammerfors Tallinn Riga

10 Freight quantity, millions of tons Railway Group International traffic to/from Sweden - not including ore and oil Road Rail Sorce: Jakob Wajsman, Banverket KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

11 International transports 2006 between Sweden and the continent of western Europe 1 truck every 15 seconds 1 freight train every 40 minutes Both directions incuded 1 EU-truck average load 15 tons 1 freight train avrege load 600 tons 1 freight train = 40 trucks KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

12 Europe green freight corridores Prioritized freight rail network High Capacity Deregulated Low track fees Long trains Interoperability Intermodality KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

13 Double-track Block sections 1-3 km KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

14 Double-track Freight X 2000 Block sections 1-3 km KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

15 Avstånd [km] Capacity with mixed traffic with fast pasenger train and freight train Railway Group 0 Utan förbigångsmöjlighet Tid [min] KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

16 Double-track Overtaking tracks Freight X 2000 Block sections 1-3 km KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

17 Double-track Overtaking tracks X 2000 Freight Block sections 1-3 km KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

18 Avs tånd [k m] Capacity when the passenger train overtake the freight train Railway Group 0 Förbigångsstationen använd för att köra fler persontåg och godståg Tid [min] KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

19 Double-track Overtaking tracks X 2000 Regional trains Freight Regional trains station X 2000 Block sections 1-3 km KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

20 Four-track City eight X 2000 Regional trains station Freight Inter City Regional trains station X 2000 KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

21 Avstånd [km] Railway Group Capacity utlization with only freight trains 0 Bara godståg Tid [min] KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

22 Double-track+ High-speed line eight Regional trains station Freight Regional trains station X 3000 X 3000 X 3000 X 3000 KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

23 Avstånd [km] Railway Group Capacity utlization with only high speed trains 0 Bara snabbtåg Tid [min] KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

24 Conclusions - four track Railway Group Separation of slower and faster traffic gives quadruple capacity By giving the fast trains their own tracks capacity is freed for freight trains and regional trains on the old double-track With trains that travel at the same speed and independently of each other, punctuality is greatly increased on both track pairs If the new double-track can be built with new routing, it can be built straighter to be able to operate trains faster and reach new markets This also reduces conflicts during construction time and even if it might be new difficult to acquire new land it is often cheaper KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

25 Tokyo Graphic time table Tokyo- Osaka Shizouki Nagoya Kyoto Osaka KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

26 High Speed Trains have good punctuality - because they have their own track Railway Group High Speed Train Shinkansen between Tokyo and Osaka 11 trains per hour and direction with regular overtakings Average delay was only 42 seconds at 2005 KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden Incloudes thyfones and snow-storms!

27 Time table at southern main line without the European HST-line 2720 time table variants found 2008 Mjölby Sommen Tranås Frinnaryd Nässjö Grimstorp Stockaryd Grevaryd Gåvetorp Alvesta Eneryda Osby Hässleholm Tid [minuter] KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

28 Time table at southern main line upgraded for tilting trains in 250km/h time table variants found Mantorp Mjölby Sommen Fbg 1 Frinnaryd Nässjö Grimstorp Fbg 2 Stockaryd Grevaryd Gåvetorp Alvesta Fbg 3 Eneryda Fbg 4 Osby Fbg 5 Hässleholm KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

29 Time table at southern main line with the European HST-line time table variants found 2020 Mjölby Sommen Tranås Frinnaryd Nässjö Grimstorp Stockaryd Grevaryd Gåvetorp Alvesta Eneryda Osby Hässleholm Tid [minuter] KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

30 KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

31 Upgraded main lines compared with dedicated high speed lines Investment BN SEK Dedicated high speed lines for 320 km/h: km double tracks in a new corridor Extended mainlines for 250 km/h 55 More tacks and passing loops Remain to build four tracks 125 There is a need for 720 km double tracks Total cost completed 180 Same capacity but longer travel times KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden

32 Thank You! Home page: KTH Railway Group Center for research and education in Railway technology - Railway development in Sweden