High-Speed Rail in Sweden - Actual plans

Transkript

1 High-Speed Rail in Sweden - Actual plans Professor Sebastian Stichel Professor em. Bo-Lennart Nelldal KTH Railway Group

2 Security KTH Railway Group - Multidisciplinary research group - System approach Profitability Revenue Competition/ Cooperation Efficient train system Capacity Cost 2

3 Energy crisis 1 Energy crisis 2 Air expansion

4 High Speed in Swedenà Stockholm-Malmö 456 km travel time: 2:50 Average speed 160 km/h Upgraded line double track Mixed operation Railway Group ßReal High Speed in France: Paris-Marseille 780 km travel time: 3:05 Average speed 250 km/h Dedicated high speed line Real High Speed in China à Beijing-Nanjing 1022 km travel time: 3:39 Average speed 280 km/h Dedicated high speed line

5 Under which conditions are High- Speed Lines meaningful in Scandinavia? There should be a major endpoint market with long-distance travel There should be significant intermediate markets along the route There should be a high demand for freight transport

6 Stockholm Göteborg Malmö Uppsala Gävle Ortsstorlek >1 miljinvånare 0,5-1,0 milj inv tusen inv tusen inv tusen inv. Luleå Uleåborg Skellefteå Trondheim Östersund Örnsköldsvik Umeå Large freight flows Bergen Stavanger Bremen Oslo Göteborg Odense Trollhättan Ålborg Hamburg Skövde Varberg Falun Borlänge Västerås Örebro Lund Malmö Jönköping Köpenhamn Halmstad Helsingborg Eskilstuna Sundsvall Gävle Uppsala Norrköping Linköping Åbo Stockholm Tammerfors S:t Petersburg Helsingfors Tallinn Riga Marknad Stora persontrafikflöden Kiev Stora godsflöden Järnväg

7 Stockholm Göteborg Malmö Uppsala Gävle Ortsstorlek >1 miljinvånare 0,5-1,0 milj inv tusen inv tusen inv tusen inv. Luleå Uleåborg Skellefteå Trondheim Östersund Örnsköldsvik Umeå Large passenger flows Bergen Stavanger Bremen Oslo Göteborg Odense Trollhättan Ålborg Hamburg Skövde Varberg Falun Borlänge Västerås Örebro Jönköping Köpenhamn Halmstad Helsingborg Eskilstuna Lund Malmö/Copenhagen Sundsvall Gävle Uppsala Norrköping Linköping Åbo Stockholm Tammerfors S:t Petersburg Helsingfors Tallinn Riga Marknad Stora persontrafikflöden Kiev Stora godsflöden Järnväg

8 Stockholm Göteborg Malmö Uppsala Gävle Ortsstorlek >1 miljinvånare 0,5-1,0 milj inv tusen inv tusen inv tusen inv. Luleå Uleåborg Large freight flows + Large passenger flows = Traffic separation requested Bergen Stavanger Bremen Trondheim Oslo Göteborg Odense Trollhättan Ålborg Hamburg Skövde Varberg Östersund Falun Borlänge Västerås Örebro Jönköping Köpenhamn Halmstad Helsingborg Eskilstuna Lund Malmö/Copenhagen Sundsvall Gävle Uppsala Norrköping Linköping Örnsköldsvik Skellefteå Umeå Åbo Stockholm Tammerfors S:t Petersburg Helsingfors Tallinn Riga Marknad Stora persontrafikflöden Kiev Stora godsflöden Järnväg

9 Stockholm Göteborg Malmö Uppsala Gävle Ortsstorlek >1 miljinvånare 0,5-1,0 milj inv tusen inv tusen inv tusen inv. Luleå Uleåborg Planned High speed network in Sweden for 320 km/h Bergen Stavanger 2:00 2:30 Bremen Trondheim Oslo Göteborg Odense Trollhättan Ålborg Hamburg Skövde Varberg Östersund Falun Borlänge Västerås Örebro Lund Malmö Jönköping 4:40 Köpenhamn Halmstad Helsingborg Eskilstuna Sundsvall Gävle Uppsala Norrköping Linköping Örnsköldsvik Skellefteå Umeå Åbo Stockholm 1:00 1:20 Tammerfors S:t Petersburg Helsingfors Tallinn Riga Höghastighetsbanor Ostlänken GötalandsbananKiev Europabanan Konventionella banor

10 Market share rail - air - Depending on travel time Railway Group Source: Gerhard Troche, Railway Group KTH

11 Travel times affect the modal split and induce new demand 3 h travel time: Rail is a very good alternative to air from city to city 2 h travel time: Rail will replace air and widen the market for the service sector 1 h travel time: Possible with daily commuting inducing new travels

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13 International transports 2014 between Sweden and the continent of western Europe 1 truck every 15 seconds 1 freight train every 40 minutes Both directions incuded 1 EU-truck average load 15 tons 1 freight train avrege load 600 tons 1 freight train = 40 trucks

14 Capacity with mixed and separated traffic Railway Group Capacity with only freight trains 0 Bara godståg Capacity with mixed traffic Consumes capacity 0 Förbigångsstationen använd för att köra fler persontåg och godståg Avstånd [km] 83.5 Avstånd [km] Tid [min] Capacity with only high speed trains 0 Bara snabbtåg Tid [min] Avstånd [km] Tid [min]

15 Slots for freight trains per direction on day-time Capacity for freight trains with different investmentsstrategies for Stockholm-Gothenburg and Stockholm-Malmö Maximum 2008 With uppgraded main lines With high speed lines Järna - Hallsberg Hallsberg - Göteborg Mjölby - Hässleholm

16 Vision for Green Freight Corridors in Europe Prioritized Railway network High Capacity Deregulated Non bueraucratic Competitive track fees Long trains High and wide loading gauge Interoperability Intermodality 16

17 Järnvägsgruppen Vehicle Technology Trains similar to High-Speed trains in other countries can be used adapted to the Nordic climate KTH Järnvägsgruppen Centrum för forskning och utbildning i järnvägsteknik 17

18 Järnvägsgruppen Green Train- Energy Consumption Top speed (km/h) 250+ * Lower energy consumption in spite of higher speeds: Reduced aerodynamic drag coefficient Electric regenerative braking used extensively Efficient on-board space utilization Improved electric propulsion system *) Corresponding to 0.05 litre petrol per 10 km for one person in a car KTH Järnvägsgruppen Centrum för forskning och utbildning i järnvägsteknik 18

19 Järnvägsgruppen New technology helps to reduce infrastructure cost Running gear with active suspension Relaxes need for track quality è cheaper track design Allows for smaller curve radii è less tunnels and bridges KTH Järnvägsgruppen Centrum för forskning och utbildning i järnvägsteknik 19

20 Järnvägsgruppen What can High-Speed railways in Sweden achieve? Very short travelling times and increase the availability for people and business Better capacity for freight and passenger transports Better climate and environment because people will go by train instead of plane and ferry and freight will go by rail Replace airplanes and cooperate with planes for feeder transports A sustainable society KTH Järnvägsgruppen Centrum för forskning och utbildning i järnvägsteknik 20

21 High Speed Rail à World speed record: 574,8 km/h ß Magnetic levitation train: 584 km/h Hyperloop: à 1000 km/h? 21

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